Going away

I am going away for a while, and might not have time/internet access readily available, so posting will slow to a craw, if not completely halt. Also I am turning on comment moderation to keep the trolls and spammers at bay, so be patient if your comment doesn’t appear immediately. I’ll be back in a... Continue Reading →

Banks move away from emissions trading

So says the Guardian: Banks are pulling out of the carbon-offsetting market after Copenhagen failed to reach agreement on emissions targets… Carbon financiers have already begun leaving banks in London because of the lack of activity and the drop-off in investment demand. The Guardian has been told that backers have this month pulled out of... Continue Reading →

Amazon(non)gate

Once more, we find that the IPCC WG2 made an error.  Only the error is not what is being trumpeted by deniers. There was a dire warning in chapter 13 of the report of IPCC Working Group II: "Up to 40% of Amazonian forests could react drastically to even a slight reduction in precipitation; this... Continue Reading →

Deniers are not making scientific arguments

Deniers are not making scientific arguments. Scientific arguments require consistency, something which deniers make no pretence of striving for. Plimer's argument was that climate has changed in the past. Eg - climate has a high sensitivity. Monckton's argument was that climate has a low sensitivity. I think the irony that the two [deniers] were arguing... Continue Reading →

The Impossible Hamster

impossiblehamster.org I like this (and not just because I am a fan of giant space hamsters, and even miniature giant space hamsters), but I think the focus is wrong.  It is not the size of the economy that maters but rather the environmental footprint of that economy. Typically the size of an economy is positively... Continue Reading →

The Himalayas circa 2035

Once again we see that scientists are not perfect, but flawed like the rest of us (duh), and it turns out the reports made by those flawed humans are also not perfect (duh). Science works fine in aggregate, but this idea that science must have only flawless people doing impeccable work is a strawman set... Continue Reading →

Bjorn Lomborg, wrong with a dash of socialism

Bjorn Lomborg isn’t genuine in his arguments against putting a price on carbon. His latest op-ed in the Washington Post is a prime example. Take a look at Lomborg’s calculation of costs: All the major climate economic models show that to achieve the much-discussed goal of keeping temperature increases under 2 degrees Celsius, we would... Continue Reading →

Quote of the Day

I contend that some part of the anti-consensus group deliberately sows confusion, misinformation, and doubt about the achievements of climate science to date. I think it is very difficult to separate out the perpetrators from the victims from the people who succeed in fooling themselves. It's very easy to distinguish between what they do and... Continue Reading →

Long-term trends vs cold snaps

Also see the recent misrepresentation of Mojib Latif’s work, this paper and this recent article by James Hansen et al.: If It’s That Warm, How Come It’s So Damned Cold? by James Hansen, Reto Ruedy, Makiko Sato, and Ken Lo The past year, 2009, tied as the second warmest year in the 130 years of... Continue Reading →

Inadequate proof that global warming is bunk

Given that lack of any real temperature record breakers since 1998 (technically that is not true, 2005 was slightly hotter, and we just emerged from the hottest decade on record), it isn’t surprising that deniers who don’t understand the science have repeatedly made claims that the past decade somehow invalidates global warming. Or that global... Continue Reading →

Pro tar-sand bias in the Canadian government?

Not entirely surprising: Newly released federal documents have revealed some potentially inconvenient truths about the environmental impact of Alberta's oilsands industry, along with the risks and economic costs of the Harper government's climate change strategy. The documents take aim at a government assessment of the oilsands sector prepared by the Natural Resources Department. Officials from... Continue Reading →

Quote of the day

There are numerous newspapers, radio stations and television channels all trying to get our attention. Some overstate and some want to downplay the problem as a way to get that attention… We are trying to discuss in the media a highly complex issue. Nobody would discuss the problem of [Einstein's theory of] relativity in the... Continue Reading →

The climate consensus visualized

Via Information is Beautiful: The Skeptical side claims at least 31,486 dissenters in their ranks, according to the PetitionProject.org. That sounds like a lot. But is it? Of course, not all 12 million US scientists therefore agree with ‘The Consensus’. But this puts the PetitionProject’s 31,486 signatories in some kind of context. Our maths here... Continue Reading →

The fact that denier science is rejected by the peer-reviewed literature is not evidence of bias, or conspiracy

Climategate has renewed calls that the peer-reviewed literature is either biased against global warming deniers, or is actively conspiring to prevent those with dissenting views from publishing their work. But the fact that this is happening is not evidence that such bias or conspiracy exists, as Michael Tobis writes: Starting from a blank slate, it... Continue Reading →

On full body scanners and underwear bombs

Bruce Schneier sums up this whole absurdity nicely: The problem with all these measures is that they're only effective if we guess the plot correctly. Defending against a particular tactic or target makes sense if tactics and targets are few. But there are hundreds of tactics and millions of targets, so all these measures will... Continue Reading →

Quote of the day

It’s no longer possible to delve into our relationship with the global environment without drawing conclusions that make you seem like a raving fanatic to those who have yet to delve.  -Stephan Faris

Conspiracy theories

Climategate has renewed calls that the IPCC and climate science in general is all just a big fraud. This is happening despite a lack of supporting evidence. The problem is that those claiming this is all a massive conspiracy have no idea of the amount of evidence required to not only prove mainstream science wrong,... Continue Reading →

Quote of the Day

The trouble with questioning authority, of course, doesn't come from the question; it comes from the complete indifference to the answer. –Michael Tobis UPDATE: More from Michael Tobis: The IPCC process is massive, and unprecedented, managed by flawed human beings. To make matters worse, it is a time-limited consensus process among scientists whose expertise is... Continue Reading →

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