Happy New Year! By Marc Roberts
Uncertainty of the future increases the value of climate mitigation today
How often have you heard that more certainty in climate science is needed before large scale mitigation polices should be implemented? Certainly many politicians and pundits have made that claim, and while at first blush this seems sensible, economists overwhelmingly say the opposite, as uncertainty increases so does the value of mitigation. Costs increase nonlinearly... Continue Reading →
Conspiracy theories
Climategate has renewed calls that the IPCC and climate science in general is all just a big fraud. This is happening despite a lack of supporting evidence. The problem is that those claiming this is all a massive conspiracy have no idea of the amount of evidence required to not only prove mainstream science wrong,... Continue Reading →
Quote of the Day
The trouble with questioning authority, of course, doesn't come from the question; it comes from the complete indifference to the answer. –Michael Tobis UPDATE: More from Michael Tobis: The IPCC process is massive, and unprecedented, managed by flawed human beings. To make matters worse, it is a time-limited consensus process among scientists whose expertise is... Continue Reading →
Bah Humbug!
(via xkcd)
Failure at Copenhagen, time for a new approach
Lets face it, Copenhagen was a failure. No commitment to carbon cuts, no targets set. Nothing that will slow the rise in GHG concentrations in the atmosphere, to say nothing of lowering them to 350ppm as some say is needed to avoid the worst effects of global warming. At best it could be described as... Continue Reading →
Quote of the day
If our world leaders cannot cooperate enough to stop dangerous climate change in the scant time we have left…..how do they expect to be able to cooperate enough to adapt to the kind of world they’re committing to with their inaction? –Kate from climatesight.org
Quote of the Day
There isn’t a nation on the planet where the evidence of the impacts of climate change isn’t mounting. Frankly, those who look for any excuse to continue challenging the science have a fundamental responsibility which they have never fulfilled: Prove us wrong or stand down. Prove that the pollution we put in the atmosphere is... Continue Reading →
I went to the zoo..
… Just the other week:
Stephen Schneider’s take on Copenhagen; James Hansen’s take on Copenhagen, offsets, cap-and-trade and more
Two interesting (and opposing) takes on Copenhagen from two of the top climatologists in the world. First we have Stephen Schneider’s take, which is decidedly optimistic: And now we have James Hansen who thinks that the type of deal likely reached at Copenhagen is worse than no deal at all. AT the international climate talks... Continue Reading →
The costs of climate mitigation
It turns out that mitigation is not the economy-destroying expense that many deniers would like us to believe: The costs of doing something about climate change are the subject of much debate these, and Canada is no exception. The federal government, like the ones before it, has shown little interest in honest analysis, so one... Continue Reading →
An open letter to the climate science community
As spoken at the AGU 2009 Fall Meeting These remarks reflect the personal opinions of B.D. Santer. They do not represent the official views of Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory or the U.S. Department of Energy. We live in extraordinary scientific and political times. Over the course of less than a dozen generations, humanity has transitioned... Continue Reading →
The exact same thing applies to climatology
The exact same thing applies to climatology.
Arctic sea ice albedo tipping point not as close as previously feared, multi-year ice rotting away
After the dramatic Arctic sea melt of the summer of 2007, many people become quite alarmed about what this meant for the future of the arctic. The notion was that as the white reflective ice gave way to dark absorptive ocean waters, more of the suns energy would be absorbed which would further speed up the melting... Continue Reading →
Quote of the day
The anti-global-warming people are just filled with hate for anyone who suggests that maybe, just maybe, the vast majority of scientists are right. –Paul Krugman
Crane and Heron Part 2
And guest starring Red-tailed hawk Part 1 is here.
2000-2009 is the hottest decade on record: WMO, NOAA
Both NOAA and the WMO have said that 2000-2009 is the hottest decade on record (actually they said ‘will be’ since the decade is quite over yet, but it would take a truly extraordinarily cold December to change anything). the 2000s was warmer than the 1990s which in turn beat, beat out the 1980s. Tamino... Continue Reading →
Climategate: the bottom line
The bottom line of the CRU email leak, is that in terms of the science behind global warming the emails are meaningless. In terms of the politics they are not, but only because deniers are twisting the emails, taking them out of context and claiming that they invalidate the science. This is denialism pure and... Continue Reading →
Nature on climategate
Nature has published a great article on the whole climategate tempest. Here are the highlights: The e-mail archives stolen last month from the Climatic Research Unit at the University of East Anglia (UEA), UK, have been greeted by the climate-change-denialist fringe as a propaganda windfall (see page 551). To these denialists, the scientists' scathing remarks... Continue Reading →
The climategate conspiracy…
… doesn’t actually exist. But if you disagree, please post specific examples of compromised science (vague claims simply won’t cut it), and then explain exactly how this changes our picture of the climate system. If you claim these emails somehow invalidate global warming, this is the absolute minimum one needs to substantiate those claims. UPDATE:... Continue Reading →
Climate hacking in Canada
Here we go again: it has now been revealed that individuals posing as network technicians recently attempted to infiltrate another climate data center operated by the Government of Canada. According to sources at the University of Victoria, two people claiming to be network computer technicians presented themselves at the headquarters of the Canadian Centre for... Continue Reading →
Climate Change — isn’t it natural?
The fifth video in an excellent series. (via Greenfyre)
Quote of the Day
Just about everyone knows they aren't able to understand, or make a meaningful contribution to, general relativity or quantum mechanics or number theory… Somehow, however, people imagine that they understand climate science. -William M. Connolley
Crane and Heron
Taken at the Reifel Migratory Bird Sanctuary
Science advisor John Holdren on the hacked emails and the state of climate science
(via Climate Progress)
Quotes of the day: The CRU edition
Science works fine in aggregate, but this idea that science must have only flawless people doing impeccable work is a strawman set up by the superstitious to discredit empiricism through nutpicking. -Tim F. None of us who think the “Swifthack” is no big deal are arguing that every last email that has been revealed is... Continue Reading →
Quote of the day
Skepticism in the truest scientific sense of the word is good and is indeed essential to science. Skepticism should not be confused, however, with contrarianism that does not meet the basic standards of scientific inquiry. -Michael Mann Or in other words deniers aren’t skeptical, they are gullible.
Why climategate doesn’t matter to the science of global warming
From the outset of the whole debacle I stated that the proper response to bad science (if indeed there is any, and it appears there is not) is good science, not leaked emails. Or in other words if something inappropriate has taken place in the science, then the proper response is good science to correct... Continue Reading →
Science Bypass: The petition to deny climate change at the APS
John Mashey has written a very thorough write up (executive summary and conclusions bellow) on the recent petition to deny basic climate science directed at the APS. A petition that despite intense effort only managed to get 0.45% of APS members to sign it; slightly better than junk mail response rates. Specifically the petition wanted... Continue Reading →
This time with no earth-eating micro black-holes
The European Organization for Nuclear Research (CERN) says it expects to restart the Large Hadron Collider (LHC) by this weekend after more than a year of repairs. The Large Hadron Collider 27 km (17 mi) particle accelerator was launched last year, but suffered a failure from a faulty electrical connection, damaging 53 of the smasher's... Continue Reading →
Newtongate provides perspective on climategate
The blog Carbon fixated provided some excellent must-read perspective on the recent ‘climategate’ email scandal. Newtongate: the final nail in the coffin of Renaissance and Enlightenment ‘thinking’ If you own any shares in companies that produce reflecting telescopes, use differential and integral calculus, or rely on the laws of motion, I should start dumping them... Continue Reading →
Climategate: Stolen climate emails
The denialosphere is busy making another mountain out of a molehill. It seems that a bunch of emails from CRU have been stolen and published online. The authenticity of these emails hasn’t been verified and the possibility of some of them having been edited cannot be ruled out. But this hasn’t stopped the deniers from... Continue Reading →